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NBA Season Projections & Playoff Odds

March 29, 2026 at 8:30:35 PM EDT

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Log in or grab a Day Pass for playoff odds, championship probabilities, seed projections, and win distribution charts.

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EASTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Pistons
54-2059-2372.0% 8
2
Celtics
49-2455-2767.1% 9
3
Knicks
48-2653-2964.6% 8
4
Cavaliers
46-2852-3063.4% 8
5
Raptors
41-3246-3656.1% 9
6
Hawks
42-3345-3754.9% 7
7
76ers
41-3344-3853.7% 8
8
Heat
39-3544-3853.7% 8
9
Magic
39-3443-3952.4% 9
10
Hornets
39-3543-3952.4% 8
11
Bucks
29-4433-4940.2% 9
12
Bulls
29-4532-5039.0% 8
13
Nets
17-5721-6125.6% 8
14
Wizards
17-5620-6224.4% 9
15
Pacers
16-5819-6323.2% 8
WESTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Thunder
58-1664-1878.0% 8
2
Spurs
56-1862-2075.6% 8
3
Lakers
48-2653-2964.6% 8
4
Nuggets
47-2851-3162.2% 7
5
Rockets
44-2950-3261.0% 9
6
T-Wolves
45-2949-3359.8% 8
7
Suns
41-3345-3754.9% 8
8
Clippers
38-3643-3952.4% 8
9
Blazers
37-3841-4150.0% 7
10
Warriors
36-3840-4248.8% 8
11
Pelicans
25-5028-5434.1% 7
12
Grizzlies
25-4927-5532.9% 8
13
Mavericks
24-5027-5532.9% 8
14
Jazz
21-5423-5928.0% 7
15
Kings
19-5621-6125.6% 7

Tap any team to see their full season outlook below

Team Advancement Probabilities

Visualize each team's likelihood of reaching different playoff rounds. The size of each team's "orbit" scales with their Championship odds. Hover over a team for details (full odds available to subscribers).

Team Playoff Orbits

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

BOS

Boston Celtics

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

NYK

New York Knicks

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

DET

Detroit Pistons

DEN

Denver Nuggets

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

HOU

Houston Rockets

TOR

Toronto Raptors

ORL

Orlando Magic

LAC

LA Clippers

PHX

Phoenix Suns

MIA

Miami Heat

CHA

Charlotte Hornets

GSW

Golden State Warriors

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
Start $1 Day Pass to see full details for all teams. $7/mo · $59/yr

Most Likely Playoff Bracket

This bracket shows the most probable first-round matchups based on projected seeding, including simulated play-in results. Series win odds are shown for each matchup.

Team 2nd RoundConf FinalsFinalsTitle
Oklahoma City Thunder------------
Boston Celtics------------
Cleveland Cavaliers------------
New York Knicks------------
San Antonio Spurs------------
Detroit Pistons------------
Denver Nuggets------------
Los Angeles Lakers------------
Minnesota Timberwolves------------
Houston Rockets------------
Toronto Raptors------------
Orlando Magic------------
LA Clippers------------
Phoenix Suns------------
Miami Heat------------
Charlotte Hornets------------
Golden State Warriors------------
Atlanta Hawks------------
Philadelphia 76ers------------
Portland Trail Blazers------------
Start $1 Day Pass to see round-by-round advancement odds. $7/mo · $59/yr

Team Season Outlook

We've unlocked the Lakers as a free preview. Tap any team above to explore — upgrade to see all 30.

Los Angeles Lakers Season Outlook Free Preview

Projections

Current Record

48-26

Projected Record

53-29

Games Remaining

8

Playoff Odds

100.0%

Advancement Odds

  • Round 2: 52.7%
  • Conf Finals: 17.0%
  • NBA Finals: 2.6%
  • Champion: 0.7%

Seed Probabilities

Seed #1: 0%
1
Seed #2: 0%
2
79%
Seed #3: 79.4%
3
17%
Seed #4: 16.5%
4
4%
Seed #5: 3.8%
5
Seed #6: 0.3%
6
Seed #7: 0%
7
Seed #8: 0%
8
Seed #9: 0%
9
Seed #10: 0%
10
Seed #11: 0%
11
Seed #12: 0%
12
Seed #13: 0%
13
Seed #14: 0%
14
Seed #15: 0%
15
Higher Seeds
Lower Seeds

Win Distribution

30%15%0%
33 wins (33-49)
0.0% chance
34 wins (34-48)
0.0% chance
35 wins (35-47)
0.0% chance
35
36 wins (36-46)
0.0% chance
37 wins (37-45)
0.0% chance
38 wins (38-44)
0.0% chance
39 wins (39-43)
0.0% chance
40 wins (40-42)
0.0% chance
40
41 wins (41-41)
0.0% chance
42 wins (42-40)
0.0% chance
43 wins (43-39)
0.0% chance
44 wins (44-38)
0.0% chance
45 wins (45-37)
0.0% chance
45
46 wins (46-36)
0.0% chance
47 wins (47-35)
0.0% chance
48 wins (48-34)
0.0% chance
48
49 wins (49-33)
0.4% chance
50 wins (50-32)
4.5% chance
50
51 wins (51-31)
15.1% chance
52 wins (52-30)
29.3% chance
53 wins (53-29)
30.0% chance
54 wins (54-28)
16.2% chance
55 wins (55-27)
4.3% chance
55
56 wins (56-26)
0.3% chance
57 wins (57-25)
0.0% chance
58 wins (58-24)
0.0% chance
59 wins (59-23)
0.0% chance
60 wins (60-22)
0.0% chance
60
61 wins (61-21)
0.0% chance
62 wins (62-20)
0.0% chance
63 wins (63-19)
0.0% chance
64 wins (64-18)
0.0% chance
65 wins (65-17)
0.0% chance
65
66 wins (66-16)
0.0% chance
67 wins (67-15)
0.0% chance
68 wins (68-14)
0.0% chance
69 wins (69-13)
0.0% chance
70 wins (70-12)
0.0% chance
70
71 wins (71-11)
0.0% chance
72 wins (72-10)
0.0% chance
73 wins (73-9)
0.0% chance
Projected Current record (48-26)

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