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NBA Season Projections & Playoff Odds

December 5, 2025 at 7:21:08 AM EST

To view playoff, finals, and championship odds, plus detailed team outlooks including seed projections, win distribution charts, and probability analysis:

EASTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Knicks
14-755-2767.1% 6199.6%
2
Pistons
17-553-2964.6% 6098.5%
3
Cavaliers
13-1052-3063.4% 5997.9%
4
Heat
14-851-3162.2% 6095.7%
5
Magic
13-951-3162.2% 6095.7%
6
Celtics
13-950-3261.0% 6094.5%
7
Hawks
13-1046-3656.1% 5981.9%
8
Raptors
15-846-3656.1% 5981.1%
9
76ers
12-938-4446.3% 6132.9%
10
Bulls
9-1234-4841.5% 6112.2%
11
Bucks
10-1332-5039.0% 597.8%
12
Pacers
4-1827-5532.9% 601.5%
13
Hornets
6-1625-5730.5% 600.6%
14
Nets
5-1721-6125.6% 600.0%
15
Wizards
3-1817-6520.7% 610.0%
WESTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Thunder
21-171-1186.6% 60100.0%
2
Rockets
14-561-2174.4% 63100.0%
3
Nuggets
15-654-2865.9% 6199.7%
4
T-Wolves
14-852-3063.4% 6099.1%
5
Lakers
16-551-3162.2% 6198.1%
6
Spurs
15-644-3853.7% 6172.8%
7
Suns
13-942-4051.2% 6061.1%
8
Warriors
11-1241-4150.0% 5956.6%
9
Clippers
6-1641-4150.0% 6049.8%
10
Blazers
9-1338-4446.3% 6031.6%
11
Grizzlies
9-1338-4446.3% 6028.2%
12
Mavericks
8-1531-5137.8% 593.0%
13
Jazz
8-1326-5631.7% 610.1%
14
Kings
5-1723-5928.0% 600.0%
15
Pelicans
3-2019-6323.2% 590.0%

Team Advancement Probabilities

Visualize each team's likelihood of reaching different playoff rounds. The size of each team's "orbit" scales with their Championship odds. Hover over a team for details (full odds available to subscribers).

Team Playoff Orbits

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

HOU

Houston Rockets

NYK

New York Knicks

DEN

Denver Nuggets

ORL

Orlando Magic

BOS

Boston Celtics

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

DET

Detroit Pistons

MIA

Miami Heat

GSW

Golden State Warriors

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

TOR

Toronto Raptors

PHX

Phoenix Suns

LAC

LA Clippers

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

MEM

Memphis Grizzlies

CHI

Chicago Bulls

MIL

Milwaukee Bucks

DAL

Dallas Mavericks

IND

Indiana Pacers

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
Subscribe to see full details for all teams.

Most Likely Playoff Bracket

This bracket shows the most probable first-round matchups based on projected seeding, including simulated play-in results. Series win odds are shown for each matchup (full advancement odds available to subscribers).

Team 2nd RoundConf FinalsFinalsTitle
Oklahoma City Thunder------------
Cleveland Cavaliers------------
Houston Rockets------------
New York Knicks------------
Denver Nuggets------------
Orlando Magic------------
Boston Celtics------------
Minnesota Timberwolves------------
Los Angeles Lakers------------
San Antonio Spurs------------
Detroit Pistons------------
Miami Heat------------
Golden State Warriors------------
Atlanta Hawks------------
Toronto Raptors------------
Phoenix Suns------------
LA Clippers------------
Philadelphia 76ers------------
Portland Trail Blazers------------
Memphis Grizzlies------------
Chicago Bulls------------
Milwaukee Bucks------------
Dallas Mavericks------------
Indiana Pacers------------
Subscribe to see round-by-round advancement odds.